Winthrop Quigley of the Albuquerque Journal covered a speech given yesterday in Albuquerque to the Economic Forum by an economist, Mark Snead, for the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, which covers New Mexico. The graph on the right is taken from the web site of the Bank. Click here for story.
Bottom Line: New Mexico is now in the first serious recession it has experienced since World War II. The major driving force is the price of energy, which is depressed. Quigley quotes Snead as saying, "I think we hit the life-time low in oil prices last summer." With natural gas prices at $1.90 per thousand cubic feet, "that's shut-down levels...Gas prices drive (economic growth) in the region." There is nothing out there that looks like it will reduce output. "I'm very concerned about that," he said.
Given New Mexico's heavy reliance on oil and gas for state tax revenues, it seems to me the fiscal situation of state government may not be improving significantly for a while. Sen. John A. Smith has been saying this, not just in the past few months, but for several years. He came to one of my classes two and a half years ago with this message, for which he has been unfairly demonized by people who felt it was in their political interests to ignore these realities. Smith's power as Chair of Senate Finance has prevented even worse fiscal disasters for the state, and he is owed the gratitude of the citizens of New Mexico not only for doing what was right but also doing so when it was not popular, and politically dangerous.
Another serious cause for concern is the housing sector (see graph) which, in New Mexico, is not recovering as strongly as it has in many other places. Employment (see graph) is also down in New Mexico, and Snead explained to his audience yesterday that federal unemployment figures tend to very wrong is energy states and New Mexico was probably not growing as fast as the data indicated.
The data in the charts to the right are serious cause for concern. Goods producing sectors are down about 15% from last year, and manufacturing and construction are down even more.
One clear lesson from this unhappy experience? The state needs to do something about it's reliance for revenues on non-renewable energy. The state has diversified its economy considerably in recent years, and our taxation system needs to reflect these new realities. We can argue over whether the overall level of taxation and revenue collection is appropriate or not, but we certainly can agree to shift the tax structure so that state government is not as badly hurt when energy costs, which are very cyclical, go down.
Friday, November 20, 2009
Fed Speech Covers NM Economy: Ouch! This Looks Serious! Call Sen. John Arthur Smith and Tell Him He Was Right!
Thursday, November 19, 2009
Road to Sta Teresa Now Paved All the Way: The Road to Sanity is Not
Ciudad Juárez is just not the bustling, alluring city, teeming with that infinite, energetic norteño charm it once exuded. It used to remind me of the Alexandria of the Alexandria Quartet, by Lawrence Durrell, one of the great novels of the 1950s, where the protagonist is not so much the people of the novel as the city itself. The late Ricardo Aguilar, a friend and colleague of mine at NMSU, captured the tempo and spirit of Juárez, especially the voice of the common tipo on the steet. His short stories still rivet my attention, and some are translated into English.
Traffic is down to a trickle in most parts of the city. The hundreds of racks of used clothing and old appliances for sale on the streets remind you of the toll the recession and violence have taken. People no longer congregate in large numbers on the streets downtown to gossip with one another. And in the expensive shopping malls your footsteps echo as you walk past a deserted parade of stores, an eerie commentary on the fear of kidnapping among the upper classes. Night life? Forget it. As they say, don't even go there.
The city will recover, make no mistake about it, and when it does, it will be a pleasurable feast again. But things will have to happen before it can recover, and the next few months will clarify a great deal about how long this might take and how it might come about.
I've been explicit in writing about the circumstances of violent death in Ciudad Juárez. The major news media in New Mexico cover it only intermittently when something happens that is picked up by the national media. I thought it might be useful to convey the staccato rhythm of daily death as it comes, startlingly fast, through an automobile windshield on a busy intersection, or just outside a victim's home as he leaves for work, or in a nightclub parking lot. I was hoping this way to make the reader wonder what might be behind the killings and, yes, what our relationship might be, should be, to our neighbors to the South.
Ciudad Juárez is 35 miles from my home in Las Cruces as the crow flies; it is closer to Albuquerque than Denver and within a mile of the racetrack at Sunland Park. These are our neighbors. New Mexicans gave illegal sanctuary to hundreds of refugees from Central America during the 1980s and today Albuquerque politicians speak piously about the plight of immigrants. We think nothing of flying off to Africa or Honduras to dispense eyeglasses to the blind or medicine to the sick or crutches to the lame. But we don't think as often about our neighbors on the other side of the fence, and our government certainly spends a lot more time thinking about the security of the residents of Baghdad than it does about the people of Juárez.
Politicians in New Mexico love to speak at border conferences about doing business with Mexico. We have an office of Mexican Affairs and a Border Authority. We brag about our closeness to Mexico, ethnically and economically, and exalt our cultural ties to Mexico in the fiestas of Santa Fe each summer and mariachi conferences down here. But, with the occasional exception of Bishop Ricardo Ramirez, I haven't heard a peep from public figures, not even an official voice of empathy, about the crushing violence and deadly gunfire within earshot of a casino at Sunland Park raking in profits and taxes, in significant part, from prosperous citizens who live, or used to live, in the most violent city in the world.
I will continue to describe the violence but focus more on the larger political context in Cd. Juárez. There are mayoral elections coming up next July, and the presidential campaign of 2012 will begin in earnest next year. The violence will not go away, but it now becomes more visibly part of the wider political world. Partisan interaction will, in turn, shape the overall climate within which violence will ebb and flow.
I was in Cd. Juarez yesterday and, as usual, I checked out the Santa Fe bridge for traffic before deciding to cross back at Sta. Teresa. While the four-lane highway is not yet finished, at least two lanes are paved all the way, and you can do 50 mph (I got up to 70) safely on most of it--there is virtually no traffic--after Anapra, so the trip from downtown is only 20 minutes. More minutes will be shaved off when access streets linking downtown to the road are finished. Waiting lines at Sta. Teresa will go up. Yesterday only five cars were in front of me, but the wait in both lanes was painfully slow. On the other hand I have noticed an improved professionalism in recent months by border officials monitoring your passage. The attitude is more respectful and you realize from the quality of their questions they are actually thinking, discreetly, while making reasoned judgments about you.
Traffic is down to a trickle in most parts of the city. The hundreds of racks of used clothing and old appliances for sale on the streets remind you of the toll the recession and violence have taken. People no longer congregate in large numbers on the streets downtown to gossip with one another. And in the expensive shopping malls your footsteps echo as you walk past a deserted parade of stores, an eerie commentary on the fear of kidnapping among the upper classes. Night life? Forget it. As they say, don't even go there.
The city will recover, make no mistake about it, and when it does, it will be a pleasurable feast again. But things will have to happen before it can recover, and the next few months will clarify a great deal about how long this might take and how it might come about.
I've been explicit in writing about the circumstances of violent death in Ciudad Juárez. The major news media in New Mexico cover it only intermittently when something happens that is picked up by the national media. I thought it might be useful to convey the staccato rhythm of daily death as it comes, startlingly fast, through an automobile windshield on a busy intersection, or just outside a victim's home as he leaves for work, or in a nightclub parking lot. I was hoping this way to make the reader wonder what might be behind the killings and, yes, what our relationship might be, should be, to our neighbors to the South.
Ciudad Juárez is 35 miles from my home in Las Cruces as the crow flies; it is closer to Albuquerque than Denver and within a mile of the racetrack at Sunland Park. These are our neighbors. New Mexicans gave illegal sanctuary to hundreds of refugees from Central America during the 1980s and today Albuquerque politicians speak piously about the plight of immigrants. We think nothing of flying off to Africa or Honduras to dispense eyeglasses to the blind or medicine to the sick or crutches to the lame. But we don't think as often about our neighbors on the other side of the fence, and our government certainly spends a lot more time thinking about the security of the residents of Baghdad than it does about the people of Juárez.
Politicians in New Mexico love to speak at border conferences about doing business with Mexico. We have an office of Mexican Affairs and a Border Authority. We brag about our closeness to Mexico, ethnically and economically, and exalt our cultural ties to Mexico in the fiestas of Santa Fe each summer and mariachi conferences down here. But, with the occasional exception of Bishop Ricardo Ramirez, I haven't heard a peep from public figures, not even an official voice of empathy, about the crushing violence and deadly gunfire within earshot of a casino at Sunland Park raking in profits and taxes, in significant part, from prosperous citizens who live, or used to live, in the most violent city in the world.
I will continue to describe the violence but focus more on the larger political context in Cd. Juárez. There are mayoral elections coming up next July, and the presidential campaign of 2012 will begin in earnest next year. The violence will not go away, but it now becomes more visibly part of the wider political world. Partisan interaction will, in turn, shape the overall climate within which violence will ebb and flow.
I was in Cd. Juarez yesterday and, as usual, I checked out the Santa Fe bridge for traffic before deciding to cross back at Sta. Teresa. While the four-lane highway is not yet finished, at least two lanes are paved all the way, and you can do 50 mph (I got up to 70) safely on most of it--there is virtually no traffic--after Anapra, so the trip from downtown is only 20 minutes. More minutes will be shaved off when access streets linking downtown to the road are finished. Waiting lines at Sta. Teresa will go up. Yesterday only five cars were in front of me, but the wait in both lanes was painfully slow. On the other hand I have noticed an improved professionalism in recent months by border officials monitoring your passage. The attitude is more respectful and you realize from the quality of their questions they are actually thinking, discreetly, while making reasoned judgments about you.
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Transparency International Drops Perceived Corruption Level in Mexico Down 17 Places: New Mexico is Not Ranked
Transparency International, an NGO that tracks corruption, has downgraded Mexico from 72nd to 89th out of 180 (No. 1, New Zealand, is the most honest) countries in its 2009 annual index of perceived corruption, roughly a measure of what elites who live in each country believe to be the case in 13 different types of potential corruption. The methodology is complicated, but the website has an excellent explanation of how the index is derived. Mexico is tied with Rwanda, Lesotho, Morrocco, and Moldova, hardly known as bastions of Lincolnesque honesty.
The U.S. is ranked 19th, below a number of European countries, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, Australia, Canada, and Hong Kong. Iraq and Afghanistan, both supported by U.S. troops in multi-billion dollar exercises, score 176 and 179 (out of 180), respectively. Several Latin American countries scored below Mexico, including Paraguay, Venezuela, and Haiti, near the bottom of the list.
Unfortunately, New Mexico is not ranked along with the 180 countries. You think it might score above Afghanistan?
The U.S. is ranked 19th, below a number of European countries, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore, Australia, Canada, and Hong Kong. Iraq and Afghanistan, both supported by U.S. troops in multi-billion dollar exercises, score 176 and 179 (out of 180), respectively. Several Latin American countries scored below Mexico, including Paraguay, Venezuela, and Haiti, near the bottom of the list.
Unfortunately, New Mexico is not ranked along with the 180 countries. You think it might score above Afghanistan?
Man Bleeds to Death Waiting 30 Minutes for Ambulance
According to PM, a Juarez newspaper, an unidentified man, stabbed in the chest with a vegetable cutting knife by presumed thieves, bled to death at about 7:30 p.m. last night while a police patrol composed of soldiers and municipal police stood by, waiting 30 minutes for an ambulance to arrive. When police arrived on the scene the man was screaming for help and complaining about his pain. The report gave no explanation for the delay in the arrival of the ambulance, nor whether police tried to give first aid (are they trained for this?) to the victim, who was wearing white tennis shoes covered with blood, dark trousers, and a black jacket. His hands were covered with blood as he died and blood was dripping from three steps of the concrete stairway above his body. There have been numerous complaints about the effectiveness of the emergency call number in Cd. Juarez in recent months.
Christmas Bonuses in Juarez Maquiladoras Will be Down 25% from Last Year
Antonio Rebolledo, Norte, (click here for story) reports that Christmas bonuses for maquila plant workers this year will likely be at least 25% lower than last year. Soledad Máynez Bribiesca, president of the Association of Maquiladoras explained that, while employment figures for the last quarter are up, the total number of maquila employees in Juarez is not expected to reach 2008 levels until the last quarter of 2010. Currently there is a chamber of commerce-sponsored media promotion labeled "If we Buy in Juarez We All Win," (Si en Juárez compramos, todos ganamos”) hoping to stimulate consumption by citizens.
In Mexico Christmas bonuses are far more widespread, because of legal requirements for them, than in the U.S., and employees tend to count on them to pay for Christmas shopping.
In Mexico Christmas bonuses are far more widespread, because of legal requirements for them, than in the U.S., and employees tend to count on them to pay for Christmas shopping.
Monday, November 16, 2009
UN Peacekeepers, Narcosatanism, and Citizen Fronts: Political Discourse This Week in the Most Violent City in the World
Several indicators of frustration reaching desperation levels leaked out in public pronouncements over the past few days in Cd. Juarez, nearing the end of another bloody year.
The most interesting of these was an announcement by two business groups, the Cd. Juarez Association of Maquiladoras and the Juarez branch of the National Chamber of Commerce, Services, and Tourism, that they would submit a request to the Mexican government and to the Inter-American Human Rights Commission to approve an appeal to the United Nations to bring a UN Peacekeeping group to Cd. Juarez to deal with the violence.
There is absolutely no chance the request will be acted upon (it would be an unacceptable embarrassment for both Mexico and the U.S. government), but the public announcement about it sends an unmistakable message to Mexico City, Chihuahua, and municipal officials in Cd. Juarez, that the business community is willing to plead publicly, to a world audience, that it is impatient for results. According to reports several thousand (conventional wisdom suggests about 6000 this year) businesses have closed due to the violence.
A more serious potential challenge for authorities is the initiative announced over the weekend by Citizen Observatory, the Association of Maquiladoras, and the National Chamber of Commerce, to convene a broad Common Front Against Violence, composed of a broad spectrum of civil organizations. Norte (click here for story) reports the Front hopes to "deliberate" about the results of public action so far against the violence, and forge a consensus about possible solutions that will be presented to federal authorities.
Should this broad Front materialize it could take on a life of its own, making and breaking a lot of political careers in Chihuahua and, possibly, shake up the major political parties. A low-key whisper campaign about the formation of what amounts to vigilante groups has been around for several months but has not materialized. This represents a different civic approach to the violence, but it poses a potential threat to the established political class since, so far, political parties have not engaged with citizens to sort out their responses. It is tough to be a public official in Juárez these days. This adds, deliberately, to the pressure.
Finally, the Bishop of Cd. Juárez, José René Blanco Vega, weighed in yesterday, as reported in Diario this morning (click here for story), asserting he believes the viciousness with which some of the women have been killed may be signs of a satanic cult. Referring only in part to news reports that two sisters, Maria Concepcion Guardado Flores, 15, and Maria Guadalupe Guardado Flores, 14, who were kidnapped from a party in San Isidro last week, tortured, incinerated, and dragged to an empty lot, the bishop suggested he thought some of the killers belong to a satanic cult that makes offerings to the devil. "We know that many traffickers are 'narcosatanists' (narcosatánicos) and there are indications a satanic cult has been torturing women," he said. Those who sell drugs "make pacts with Satan seeking power and they make human sacrifices, acting completely contrary to our Faith and love of God. We should firmly denounce these acts because they are the actions of agents of evil."
For several years now there have been rumors of a satanic cult responsible for the deaths of some of the Murdered Women of Juárez. Evidence is pretty sketchy at best for this proposition, and among the many women murdered this year in narco-related violence, satanism is pretty far down the list of likely motivations. Most people in Juarez are killed for pretty mundane reasons. There are a lot more men than women who have been found tortured to death this year, including many teenagers, but few rumors about satanic cults surround them. The real story in Juárez is not whether a few of the women-killers may have engaged in satanic rituals; it would be surprising if men who make their living killing others did not ritualize their activities. The real story, still largely untold, is how it came to pass that the War on Drugs ended up in Juárez with trigger men, representing various factions of Mexican society, on a shooting spree that will claim 2500 lives this year alone.
What is fascinating about these three reports is not so much their face value as serious calls to action, but precisely the air of unreality that hangs over them. These expressions reflect the agony of civic leaders in a society under severe strain, with little hope for short-term relief, aching for a better day.
The most interesting of these was an announcement by two business groups, the Cd. Juarez Association of Maquiladoras and the Juarez branch of the National Chamber of Commerce, Services, and Tourism, that they would submit a request to the Mexican government and to the Inter-American Human Rights Commission to approve an appeal to the United Nations to bring a UN Peacekeeping group to Cd. Juarez to deal with the violence.
There is absolutely no chance the request will be acted upon (it would be an unacceptable embarrassment for both Mexico and the U.S. government), but the public announcement about it sends an unmistakable message to Mexico City, Chihuahua, and municipal officials in Cd. Juarez, that the business community is willing to plead publicly, to a world audience, that it is impatient for results. According to reports several thousand (conventional wisdom suggests about 6000 this year) businesses have closed due to the violence.
A more serious potential challenge for authorities is the initiative announced over the weekend by Citizen Observatory, the Association of Maquiladoras, and the National Chamber of Commerce, to convene a broad Common Front Against Violence, composed of a broad spectrum of civil organizations. Norte (click here for story) reports the Front hopes to "deliberate" about the results of public action so far against the violence, and forge a consensus about possible solutions that will be presented to federal authorities.
Should this broad Front materialize it could take on a life of its own, making and breaking a lot of political careers in Chihuahua and, possibly, shake up the major political parties. A low-key whisper campaign about the formation of what amounts to vigilante groups has been around for several months but has not materialized. This represents a different civic approach to the violence, but it poses a potential threat to the established political class since, so far, political parties have not engaged with citizens to sort out their responses. It is tough to be a public official in Juárez these days. This adds, deliberately, to the pressure.
Finally, the Bishop of Cd. Juárez, José René Blanco Vega, weighed in yesterday, as reported in Diario this morning (click here for story), asserting he believes the viciousness with which some of the women have been killed may be signs of a satanic cult. Referring only in part to news reports that two sisters, Maria Concepcion Guardado Flores, 15, and Maria Guadalupe Guardado Flores, 14, who were kidnapped from a party in San Isidro last week, tortured, incinerated, and dragged to an empty lot, the bishop suggested he thought some of the killers belong to a satanic cult that makes offerings to the devil. "We know that many traffickers are 'narcosatanists' (narcosatánicos) and there are indications a satanic cult has been torturing women," he said. Those who sell drugs "make pacts with Satan seeking power and they make human sacrifices, acting completely contrary to our Faith and love of God. We should firmly denounce these acts because they are the actions of agents of evil."
For several years now there have been rumors of a satanic cult responsible for the deaths of some of the Murdered Women of Juárez. Evidence is pretty sketchy at best for this proposition, and among the many women murdered this year in narco-related violence, satanism is pretty far down the list of likely motivations. Most people in Juarez are killed for pretty mundane reasons. There are a lot more men than women who have been found tortured to death this year, including many teenagers, but few rumors about satanic cults surround them. The real story in Juárez is not whether a few of the women-killers may have engaged in satanic rituals; it would be surprising if men who make their living killing others did not ritualize their activities. The real story, still largely untold, is how it came to pass that the War on Drugs ended up in Juárez with trigger men, representing various factions of Mexican society, on a shooting spree that will claim 2500 lives this year alone.
What is fascinating about these three reports is not so much their face value as serious calls to action, but precisely the air of unreality that hangs over them. These expressions reflect the agony of civic leaders in a society under severe strain, with little hope for short-term relief, aching for a better day.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Bruce King Dies
Former Governor Bruce King, 85, died last night at his home in Stanley, New Mexico. He had been under hospice care recently, with cardiac problems. His wife Alice died nearly a year ago.
King is one of the giant figures in New Mexico politics, dominating the political scene for more a quarter of a century. He served as governor for three four-year terms, from 1970-1974; from 1978-1982; and from 1990-1994. He was first elected in 1954 as a member of the county commission in Santa Fe county, then got elected to the state legislature in 1958, where he rose quickly through the ranks to become Speaker of the House from 1963-1968. He also served as Chair of the Constitutional Convention in 1969, and party chair of the Democratic Party in 1968 and 1969. He was elected governor in 1970, defeating another giant-to-be in New Mexico politics, Pete Domenici, who was elected to the U.S. Senate in 1972. King was elected governor once again in 1978, narrowly defeating yet another giant-to-be figure in New Mexico politics, Joe Skeen, who was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1980, by a write-in vote.
King was elected again to the governorship in 1990, and, for the first time was enabled by a constitutional amendment to succeed himself in office. However, in 1994 his Lt. Governor, Casey Luna, ran against him in the gubernatorial primary, splitting the party, facilitating the election of Gary Johnson as governor in 1994.
King had an exceptionally agile mind, and he could rattle off tactical advice on the practice of politics with the speed and precision of a great jazz player doing a riff. He never forgot origins as a rancher and ordinary citizens identified themselves strongly with him, and he with them. In spite of his Western drawl and rancher background, he was extremely popular among the state's Hispanic voters (who are mainly Democrats), who offered him strong electoral support. He was able to attract a pool of extremely talented and loyal staff members, many of whom went on to play key roles in public and private life.
King is one of the giant figures in New Mexico politics, dominating the political scene for more a quarter of a century. He served as governor for three four-year terms, from 1970-1974; from 1978-1982; and from 1990-1994. He was first elected in 1954 as a member of the county commission in Santa Fe county, then got elected to the state legislature in 1958, where he rose quickly through the ranks to become Speaker of the House from 1963-1968. He also served as Chair of the Constitutional Convention in 1969, and party chair of the Democratic Party in 1968 and 1969. He was elected governor in 1970, defeating another giant-to-be in New Mexico politics, Pete Domenici, who was elected to the U.S. Senate in 1972. King was elected governor once again in 1978, narrowly defeating yet another giant-to-be figure in New Mexico politics, Joe Skeen, who was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1980, by a write-in vote.
King was elected again to the governorship in 1990, and, for the first time was enabled by a constitutional amendment to succeed himself in office. However, in 1994 his Lt. Governor, Casey Luna, ran against him in the gubernatorial primary, splitting the party, facilitating the election of Gary Johnson as governor in 1994.
King had an exceptionally agile mind, and he could rattle off tactical advice on the practice of politics with the speed and precision of a great jazz player doing a riff. He never forgot origins as a rancher and ordinary citizens identified themselves strongly with him, and he with them. In spite of his Western drawl and rancher background, he was extremely popular among the state's Hispanic voters (who are mainly Democrats), who offered him strong electoral support. He was able to attract a pool of extremely talented and loyal staff members, many of whom went on to play key roles in public and private life.
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Death Count in the Most Violent City in the World: 2194 and Counting; Rate Now Stands at 170 per 100,000
After another bloody weekend, the body count as of mid-day today stood at 2194. With 51 days of the year left, should the present trend continue the homicide toll will be around 2550 at the end of the year. This would place the homicide rate per 100,000, (the most common measurement) at 170. The last time I calculated (see entry on September 23), the projection was for 2374 murders by the end of the year, so the homicide rate has stepped up some since then. At that time the homicide rate was 158. An article in Foreign Policy article in September 2008 listed Caracas at that time as the highest homicide city in the world, at 130. So Juarez is clearly above that.
A Time magazine article this year puts the Baghdad homicide rate at 48, slightly higher than St. Louis in 2008 which came in at 47. Global homicide rates per city are more difficult to get hold of than you might think at first. But there are places in the U.S. that aren't too far behind the worst cities in the world, such as New Orleans, which the FBI estimated in 2008 had a murder rate per 100,000 of 64. The U.S. average in 2008 was 5.6, one thirtieth of the rate I've projected for this year in Cd. Juarez.
A Time magazine article this year puts the Baghdad homicide rate at 48, slightly higher than St. Louis in 2008 which came in at 47. Global homicide rates per city are more difficult to get hold of than you might think at first. But there are places in the U.S. that aren't too far behind the worst cities in the world, such as New Orleans, which the FBI estimated in 2008 had a murder rate per 100,000 of 64. The U.S. average in 2008 was 5.6, one thirtieth of the rate I've projected for this year in Cd. Juarez.
Thursday, November 5, 2009
Guns of November: Fourteen Executed Yesterday
Shortly after midnight Wednesday morning six persons were executed at the Amadeus nightclub in Cd. Juarez, including a staff sergeant in the U.S. Air Force, David Booher Magallanes, assigned to Holloman AFB, who was on his day off, according to a story in the El Paso Times.
From Diario and Norte this morning:
Then at 2:50 a.m. the body of a man about 45 was found dead at Zaragoza and Independencia, with three spent 9 mm. cartridges nearby.
Then around noon four men, ages 18-24, were executed against the wall of a primary school in col. El Campanario. Click here for full Diario story. Witnesses told Diario the victims were taken out of a vehicle, lined up against the wall, and told to kneel down. One man tried to flee but was shot down about 15 meters from the others. About a hundred 7.62 X 39 spent cartridges were found nearby. The school has several hundred children and at least one class was outside doing physical education when the shooting started. Teachers screamed at them to lie down. When the shooting was over, children could see the dead bodies. One of the victims' head had been split in half by the gunfire. School was suspended for the rest of the day.
At around 4 p.m. Jacinto Montiel Navarro was shot once in the face and killed inside an auto repair shop in col. Zaragoza.
At 9 p.m. two men were killed behind Galerias Tec, a shopping center on Pedro Rosales de Leon.
From Diario and Norte this morning:
Then at 2:50 a.m. the body of a man about 45 was found dead at Zaragoza and Independencia, with three spent 9 mm. cartridges nearby.
Then around noon four men, ages 18-24, were executed against the wall of a primary school in col. El Campanario. Click here for full Diario story. Witnesses told Diario the victims were taken out of a vehicle, lined up against the wall, and told to kneel down. One man tried to flee but was shot down about 15 meters from the others. About a hundred 7.62 X 39 spent cartridges were found nearby. The school has several hundred children and at least one class was outside doing physical education when the shooting started. Teachers screamed at them to lie down. When the shooting was over, children could see the dead bodies. One of the victims' head had been split in half by the gunfire. School was suspended for the rest of the day.
At around 4 p.m. Jacinto Montiel Navarro was shot once in the face and killed inside an auto repair shop in col. Zaragoza.
At 9 p.m. two men were killed behind Galerias Tec, a shopping center on Pedro Rosales de Leon.
Wednesday, November 4, 2009
La Polaka Confirms Death of U.S. Air Force Man
A few minutes ago La Polaka reported that one of the persons killed last night at Amadeus was indeed in the U.S. Air Force, rank undisclosed. La Polaka identifies him as David Bohr. They also report that Alberto Arguelles, also in the U.S. Air Force, was wounded in last night's shooting and was taken to UTEP's emergency medical center in El Paso.
Six Executed Last Night at Amadeus: Unconfirmed Report Suggests a US Air Force Officer May Have Been Among the Dead
La Polaka (click here for story) reports this morning that six persons were killed by gunfire late last night at Amadeus, a topless bar.
The assassins arrived in various vehicles shortly after midnight and secured the parking lot, "apparently hoping to kidnap two persons in the bar." A gun battle broke out, leaving six dead and two wounded.
La Polaka reports that among the dead "may have been a U.S. Air Force officer who was in a VIP room with other persons." I wouldn't count on this report being true unless the story is confirmed. It is highly unlikely a U.S. military officer would find himself in a topless bar in Juarez late at night. Diario, reporting on the incident this morning (click here), states only that "it is said ("se habla") that two of the dead persons were U.S. citizens but this has not been confirmed by authorities."
Amadeus, just across the street from Sam's on Ejercito Nacional, is said to be the fanciest topless bar in Juarez and has a well guarded parking lot.
The assassins arrived in various vehicles shortly after midnight and secured the parking lot, "apparently hoping to kidnap two persons in the bar." A gun battle broke out, leaving six dead and two wounded.
La Polaka reports that among the dead "may have been a U.S. Air Force officer who was in a VIP room with other persons." I wouldn't count on this report being true unless the story is confirmed. It is highly unlikely a U.S. military officer would find himself in a topless bar in Juarez late at night. Diario, reporting on the incident this morning (click here), states only that "it is said ("se habla") that two of the dead persons were U.S. citizens but this has not been confirmed by authorities."
Amadeus, just across the street from Sam's on Ejercito Nacional, is said to be the fanciest topless bar in Juarez and has a well guarded parking lot.
The Beat Back to Normal: Nine Executed Yesterday
From reports in Diario, Norte, and La Polaka
After a lull this weekend, perhaps out of respect for the Day of the Dead on Monday, Juárez's assassins were back to full-time work on Tuesday.
The body of a man about 30 years old, apparently left on a street in Col. Castillo Peraza, was found at 7 a.m. with multiple gunshot wounds. Then Juan Olivarez Campero, 26, was killed by gunfire to various parts of his body at around 10:30 a.m. in Col. Luis Echeverria, near an arroyo. At 2:30 p.m. the owner of a beauty salon, Victor Hernandez, was killed inside his beauty salon in Col. El Granjero.
A few minutes later a man was killed by gunfire as he was driving a white Neon in Col. Horizontes del Sur, accompanied by a woman and a young girl. Under gunfire, he lost control over his vehicle and ran into an electric post. The woman and girl were not injured.
Just before 4 p.m. another man was killed in col. Tierra Nueva, and at 4:40 René González Cabrera, 22, was killed outside a grocery store in col. Salvárcar. Two of Mr. González's brothers had been killed at the same spot. He lived half a block from the grocery store and was known by neighbors as a drug addict and burgler.
At about 7:20 a man identified only as "El Spider" was killed by gunfire outside his home in Col. Revolucion Mexicana. Family members who heard the shots found his body and covered it with a blanket.
Then an unidentified man was killed by two gunshots to the head at a filling station on Henequén and Independencia. He was about 25 years old, and was wearing running shoes and blue jeans.
Also last night Carlos Alexis Caraveo Prieto, 30, was killed by gunfire at the intersection of Poresta Pereira and Máximo Castillo, col. Revolucion Mexicana while he was walking with his mother. She was crying disconsolately when police arrived at the scene.
After a lull this weekend, perhaps out of respect for the Day of the Dead on Monday, Juárez's assassins were back to full-time work on Tuesday.
The body of a man about 30 years old, apparently left on a street in Col. Castillo Peraza, was found at 7 a.m. with multiple gunshot wounds. Then Juan Olivarez Campero, 26, was killed by gunfire to various parts of his body at around 10:30 a.m. in Col. Luis Echeverria, near an arroyo. At 2:30 p.m. the owner of a beauty salon, Victor Hernandez, was killed inside his beauty salon in Col. El Granjero.
A few minutes later a man was killed by gunfire as he was driving a white Neon in Col. Horizontes del Sur, accompanied by a woman and a young girl. Under gunfire, he lost control over his vehicle and ran into an electric post. The woman and girl were not injured.
Just before 4 p.m. another man was killed in col. Tierra Nueva, and at 4:40 René González Cabrera, 22, was killed outside a grocery store in col. Salvárcar. Two of Mr. González's brothers had been killed at the same spot. He lived half a block from the grocery store and was known by neighbors as a drug addict and burgler.
At about 7:20 a man identified only as "El Spider" was killed by gunfire outside his home in Col. Revolucion Mexicana. Family members who heard the shots found his body and covered it with a blanket.
Then an unidentified man was killed by two gunshots to the head at a filling station on Henequén and Independencia. He was about 25 years old, and was wearing running shoes and blue jeans.
Also last night Carlos Alexis Caraveo Prieto, 30, was killed by gunfire at the intersection of Poresta Pereira and Máximo Castillo, col. Revolucion Mexicana while he was walking with his mother. She was crying disconsolately when police arrived at the scene.
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Quiet Day of the Dead: Only One (Oops, Three) Murder(s)
Perhaps honoring the Day of the Dead (celebrated yesterday in Juarez), assassins in our sister city of Cd. Juarez contributed only one person to the realm of the dead, No. 2116 so far this year. A later edition of Diario informed me there were two more killed last night, so as of this morning we were up to 2118.
Norte and La Polaka report that at about 4 p.m. Jaime García Moreno, 35, and apparently a guard at Cereso prison, entered a beauty shop (Maghor) in Col. Torres del Sur, pursued by assassins. When the assassins entered he was clinging to a woman, as if for protection. After pulling him away from her they shot him nine times in the head.
Gerardo Salinas González, 38, was shot at around 9 p.m. as he was entering his home at 859 Gladiolas. He was shot four times with a 45 caliber weapon and 14 times with a 9 mm. weapon. Another man, unidentified, was shot and killed outside a store at an unidentified location at about the same time.
Norte and La Polaka report that at about 4 p.m. Jaime García Moreno, 35, and apparently a guard at Cereso prison, entered a beauty shop (Maghor) in Col. Torres del Sur, pursued by assassins. When the assassins entered he was clinging to a woman, as if for protection. After pulling him away from her they shot him nine times in the head.
Gerardo Salinas González, 38, was shot at around 9 p.m. as he was entering his home at 859 Gladiolas. He was shot four times with a 45 caliber weapon and 14 times with a 9 mm. weapon. Another man, unidentified, was shot and killed outside a store at an unidentified location at about the same time.
Salvadoran Man Loses Arm in Fall From Train: Bishop of Cd. Juarez Criticizes U.S. Deportation Policy, Bishop of Las Cruces Comments
Diario reports this morning that Rafael Martínez, 40, a Salvadoran who was deported by the U.S. through Juárez, lost his arm yesterday after he fell from a train at the crossing downtown at Carlos Amaya and Ramón Alcázar. The train apparently rolled over his arm when he fell. His arm was amputated at General Hospital. He said he had jumped onto the freight train hoping to hitch rides back to El Salvador.
Diario also reports this morning (for full story click here) that Renato Ascencio León, Bishop of the Diocese of Ciudad Juárez, at a binational mass held yesterday near Anapra dedicated to those migrants who have died trying to achieve the American Dream, criticized recent changes in deportation policy in the U.S. He characterized such policies as the repatriation of Mexicans through desert areas of Presidio-Ojinaga, where there are few avenues of transportation, as "xenophobic," and criticized what he indicated were lukewarm responses by federal officials in Mexico. In the Mexican "government there are apparently no leaders who truly defend the plight of our migrant brothers," he said, specifically including the Foreign Secretary of Mexico (Patricia Espinosa).
Armando Ochoa, Bishop of El Paso, told reporters he thought, from media reports, that migration reform in the U.S. is important, but not a top priority this year for President Obama.
Ricardo Ramírez, Bishop of Las Cruces, asked God to forgive the rejection and treatment suffered by migrants who enter the U.S., as well as the racial prejudice and poor conditions they are forced to live with. He also prayed about the difficulty the community has in realizing we are all equal and the fear it has in reaching out to migrants to lend a helping hand. He said that for the Lord there are no borders, and therefore the eucharist is the moment of greatest unity in the community.
"The deaths (of migrants) have their roots in the insensitivity of the powerful who create structures that carry injustice within them," he said.
Diario also reports this morning (for full story click here) that Renato Ascencio León, Bishop of the Diocese of Ciudad Juárez, at a binational mass held yesterday near Anapra dedicated to those migrants who have died trying to achieve the American Dream, criticized recent changes in deportation policy in the U.S. He characterized such policies as the repatriation of Mexicans through desert areas of Presidio-Ojinaga, where there are few avenues of transportation, as "xenophobic," and criticized what he indicated were lukewarm responses by federal officials in Mexico. In the Mexican "government there are apparently no leaders who truly defend the plight of our migrant brothers," he said, specifically including the Foreign Secretary of Mexico (Patricia Espinosa).
Armando Ochoa, Bishop of El Paso, told reporters he thought, from media reports, that migration reform in the U.S. is important, but not a top priority this year for President Obama.
Ricardo Ramírez, Bishop of Las Cruces, asked God to forgive the rejection and treatment suffered by migrants who enter the U.S., as well as the racial prejudice and poor conditions they are forced to live with. He also prayed about the difficulty the community has in realizing we are all equal and the fear it has in reaching out to migrants to lend a helping hand. He said that for the Lord there are no borders, and therefore the eucharist is the moment of greatest unity in the community.
"The deaths (of migrants) have their roots in the insensitivity of the powerful who create structures that carry injustice within them," he said.
Monday, November 2, 2009
The Beat: (Relatively) Quiet Weekend, Only Seven Murders
The official murder count this year in Cd. Juárez as of this morning was 2115 after seven persons were murdered late Saturday night and early Sunday morning.
From a report by Félix A. González, writing in Norte.
An unidentified woman was found dead with seven gunshot wounds late Saturday night in the downtown area. She was wearing a gray jacket, black blouse, and brown shoes. Seven empty 9 mm. cartridges were found near the body.
Iván Monsiváis Domínguez, 25, was found dead at Óscar Peña y Fernando Montes de Oca, Col. El Sauzal, at 2:30 Sunday morning. He was shot in the throat and bled to death. Rufino Durán, 62, was found dead from a gunshot wound to the neck in Col. Torres del Sur. Ramón Chávez Montelongo, 32, was found dead at the intersection of Fuente de Trevi and Yepómera, Col. Santa Mónica. He was shot in the temple, collar bone, and chest. Twenty four empty cartridges, of 9 mm. and 40 caliber, were found nearby. Raymundo Díaz de León died while receiving medical assistance at the General Hospital at 11:10 p.m. on Saturday.
A man was found assassinated (the writer, Félix A. González, states: "apparently crucified," without further comment) inside a home in Bosques de Salvárcar.
From a report by Félix A. González, writing in Norte.
An unidentified woman was found dead with seven gunshot wounds late Saturday night in the downtown area. She was wearing a gray jacket, black blouse, and brown shoes. Seven empty 9 mm. cartridges were found near the body.
Iván Monsiváis Domínguez, 25, was found dead at Óscar Peña y Fernando Montes de Oca, Col. El Sauzal, at 2:30 Sunday morning. He was shot in the throat and bled to death. Rufino Durán, 62, was found dead from a gunshot wound to the neck in Col. Torres del Sur. Ramón Chávez Montelongo, 32, was found dead at the intersection of Fuente de Trevi and Yepómera, Col. Santa Mónica. He was shot in the temple, collar bone, and chest. Twenty four empty cartridges, of 9 mm. and 40 caliber, were found nearby. Raymundo Díaz de León died while receiving medical assistance at the General Hospital at 11:10 p.m. on Saturday.
A man was found assassinated (the writer, Félix A. González, states: "apparently crucified," without further comment) inside a home in Bosques de Salvárcar.
New Technique for Car Theft in Juarez?
Hérika Martínez Prado writes this morning in Norte that an email is making the rounds, warning car owners of a new technique it claims is being used to steal autos from patrons of restaurants.
According to the email thieves identify an automobile they want to steal from a restaurant parking lot. They jot down the plate numbers, enter the restaurant, and ask likely owners whether the numbers correspond to their auto. When they locate the owner they explain that the car is blocking the exit of another car and ask the driver to move it. When the driver arrives at the car thieves explain this is a robbery, take the keys and quite likely the victim's wallet, and take off. The author of the email suggests that patrons should park only in places where there are parking assistants and to avoid parking in a spot that could possibly block others. If someone should ask you at a restaurant to move your car, it might be best not to comply. Interestingly, the email does not suggest calling the police, a reluctance that has a long history of cynicism about police in Cd. Juarez. It is of course possible that the email is simply an attempt to start a new urban legend. Hopefully someone will check out car theft reports to see if this particular pattern is emerging.
According to the email thieves identify an automobile they want to steal from a restaurant parking lot. They jot down the plate numbers, enter the restaurant, and ask likely owners whether the numbers correspond to their auto. When they locate the owner they explain that the car is blocking the exit of another car and ask the driver to move it. When the driver arrives at the car thieves explain this is a robbery, take the keys and quite likely the victim's wallet, and take off. The author of the email suggests that patrons should park only in places where there are parking assistants and to avoid parking in a spot that could possibly block others. If someone should ask you at a restaurant to move your car, it might be best not to comply. Interestingly, the email does not suggest calling the police, a reluctance that has a long history of cynicism about police in Cd. Juarez. It is of course possible that the email is simply an attempt to start a new urban legend. Hopefully someone will check out car theft reports to see if this particular pattern is emerging.
Friday, October 30, 2009
Jose Campos, This Morning at Roberto's
After the Gulf War began and the recession hit Santa Rosa I lost 40% of my restaurant clients. I ended up being chef, waiter, dishwasher. That loneliness, that fear--I know what people are going through. We've got to get them out of it. Jose Campos, candidate for Lt. Governor, October 30, 2009
Except for Edgar Lopez’s absence, this morning at Roberto’s was like the old days, when Richardson was still popular when he came to town, before the Gran Traicion (Great Betrayal), as someone there described the spaceport tax project: politicos, candidates, and plebe, mingling with the coffee regulars, gossiping about everything worthless under the sun. Oscar Butler, Chano Merino, Willie Garcia, Bill McCamley (PRC hopeful), Ralph Misquez, were among the regulars this morning. Sen. Mary Jane Garcia, National Committee Woman Mary Gail Gwaltney, PRC Commissioner (and candidate for Land Commissioner) Sandy Jones, candidate for PRC Kent Evans, Arturo Uribe, Jesus Carrasco, Robert Nava, Ray Ibarra, and Manny Garcia: a solid but not complete sampling of Who’s Who on the pecking order in county politics today. All in all I counted about 30 persons listening in both rooms to the campaign talk of candidate Jose Campos, from Santa Rosa, running for Lt. Governor.
Stressing his electability, Campos pointed out his district’s Democratic performance is only 51%, but he won it by 60-40 while being outspent 3-1 by his opponent, Matt Rush. His district includes Roosevelt County and parts of Curry County, strong Conservative enclaves, and the district’s Hispanic population is only about 36-38%. He’s been a state representative since 2003, Mayor of Santa Rosa for 12 years, and before that a county commissioner. But he describes himself, sincerely, as a businessman.
He also spoke earnestly about the possibilities of using renewable energy as an investment in high-paying jobs for New Mexico, something he apparently knows fairly well. This is one of his major campaign themes. He was interrupted at various times by applause. After the talk he mingled for about an hour with people and then sat down with me and his campaign manager, Michelle Mares, at an empty table in the back.
For the current fiscal crisis, as a state representative Campos has staked out a position. He will vote in January for a restoration of the state personal income tax back to ’02 levels for persons earning $200,000 or more. This, he asserts, will generate $250 million out of the 2010 shortfall of $390 million. Taking (“sweeping”) $150 million in capital outlay funds the legislature did not touch during the special session in addition to the PIT tax will, he claims, take care of the 2010 budget. He is against proposals to cut more than superficially into education and he wants nothing to do with the proposal to restore and increase the gross receipts tax on food. Campos is unusually fluent and clear when he talks numbers and the relationships between numbers, a reflection of the B.A. he earned at UNM in economics and the multi-faceted perspectives he has gleaned from running a business, running a town, and working in the legislature. He attended NMMI before going to UNM, and he spent some time in Guadalajara, improving his ability in Spanish, which is highly functional but not flawless.
Asked what he might do for Dona Ana County and the South Valley as Lt. Governor, he suggested he could help local communities with realistic assessments of how to get local projects moving through the maze of multiple levels of government. He said he didn’t need anything new for this role in the way of staffing or legislation: he would get on the road and travel to many communities, listening to their priorities, advising and helping where he could. So whereas Lawrence Rael envisions himself as actually helping manage selective large projects in the state, Campos sees himself as more of an unpaid consultant and advocate for communities, using his access and practical knowledge to help things along. He asserted flatly that there is no region in the state with as high a level of what he called “surplus labor” than the South Mesilla Valley and suggested that Sunland Park is an ideal place for manufacturing, perhaps building generators, windmill blades, assembling things, etc.—getting back to the renewable energy theme he struck in his talk. But he also stressed he wanted to learn about local priorities before jumping to conclusions.
Campos is fortunate to have two seasoned professionals working for him. His campaign manager is Michelle Mares, formerly a campaign field coordinator for Sen. Jeff Bingaman and political director for over two years with Lt. Governor Diane Denish: this gives him credibility in organizing for the preprimary process next spring. The other is Santiago Juarez, former director of the Progressive Alliance for Community Empowerment, an attorney with decades of experience in community organization, and a passionate and persuasive advocate. Expect some creative networking and unusual bases of support.
Bottom Line: my sense of Campos is that he approaches politics less from an ideological position as from a practical one: staying within the cone of what is achievable under the circumstances, using his extensive knowledge of how to get things done as mayor, as legislator, as county commissioner; and uncomfortable with symbolic politics or lost causes, no matter how meritorious.
Except for Edgar Lopez’s absence, this morning at Roberto’s was like the old days, when Richardson was still popular when he came to town, before the Gran Traicion (Great Betrayal), as someone there described the spaceport tax project: politicos, candidates, and plebe, mingling with the coffee regulars, gossiping about everything worthless under the sun. Oscar Butler, Chano Merino, Willie Garcia, Bill McCamley (PRC hopeful), Ralph Misquez, were among the regulars this morning. Sen. Mary Jane Garcia, National Committee Woman Mary Gail Gwaltney, PRC Commissioner (and candidate for Land Commissioner) Sandy Jones, candidate for PRC Kent Evans, Arturo Uribe, Jesus Carrasco, Robert Nava, Ray Ibarra, and Manny Garcia: a solid but not complete sampling of Who’s Who on the pecking order in county politics today. All in all I counted about 30 persons listening in both rooms to the campaign talk of candidate Jose Campos, from Santa Rosa, running for Lt. Governor.
Stressing his electability, Campos pointed out his district’s Democratic performance is only 51%, but he won it by 60-40 while being outspent 3-1 by his opponent, Matt Rush. His district includes Roosevelt County and parts of Curry County, strong Conservative enclaves, and the district’s Hispanic population is only about 36-38%. He’s been a state representative since 2003, Mayor of Santa Rosa for 12 years, and before that a county commissioner. But he describes himself, sincerely, as a businessman.
He also spoke earnestly about the possibilities of using renewable energy as an investment in high-paying jobs for New Mexico, something he apparently knows fairly well. This is one of his major campaign themes. He was interrupted at various times by applause. After the talk he mingled for about an hour with people and then sat down with me and his campaign manager, Michelle Mares, at an empty table in the back.
For the current fiscal crisis, as a state representative Campos has staked out a position. He will vote in January for a restoration of the state personal income tax back to ’02 levels for persons earning $200,000 or more. This, he asserts, will generate $250 million out of the 2010 shortfall of $390 million. Taking (“sweeping”) $150 million in capital outlay funds the legislature did not touch during the special session in addition to the PIT tax will, he claims, take care of the 2010 budget. He is against proposals to cut more than superficially into education and he wants nothing to do with the proposal to restore and increase the gross receipts tax on food. Campos is unusually fluent and clear when he talks numbers and the relationships between numbers, a reflection of the B.A. he earned at UNM in economics and the multi-faceted perspectives he has gleaned from running a business, running a town, and working in the legislature. He attended NMMI before going to UNM, and he spent some time in Guadalajara, improving his ability in Spanish, which is highly functional but not flawless.
Asked what he might do for Dona Ana County and the South Valley as Lt. Governor, he suggested he could help local communities with realistic assessments of how to get local projects moving through the maze of multiple levels of government. He said he didn’t need anything new for this role in the way of staffing or legislation: he would get on the road and travel to many communities, listening to their priorities, advising and helping where he could. So whereas Lawrence Rael envisions himself as actually helping manage selective large projects in the state, Campos sees himself as more of an unpaid consultant and advocate for communities, using his access and practical knowledge to help things along. He asserted flatly that there is no region in the state with as high a level of what he called “surplus labor” than the South Mesilla Valley and suggested that Sunland Park is an ideal place for manufacturing, perhaps building generators, windmill blades, assembling things, etc.—getting back to the renewable energy theme he struck in his talk. But he also stressed he wanted to learn about local priorities before jumping to conclusions.
Campos is fortunate to have two seasoned professionals working for him. His campaign manager is Michelle Mares, formerly a campaign field coordinator for Sen. Jeff Bingaman and political director for over two years with Lt. Governor Diane Denish: this gives him credibility in organizing for the preprimary process next spring. The other is Santiago Juarez, former director of the Progressive Alliance for Community Empowerment, an attorney with decades of experience in community organization, and a passionate and persuasive advocate. Expect some creative networking and unusual bases of support.
Bottom Line: my sense of Campos is that he approaches politics less from an ideological position as from a practical one: staying within the cone of what is achievable under the circumstances, using his extensive knowledge of how to get things done as mayor, as legislator, as county commissioner; and uncomfortable with symbolic politics or lost causes, no matter how meritorious.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Troops Will Stay in Juarez At Least Through This Year
The City Council of Cd. Juarez this morning unanimously approved extending the agreement creating Joint Operation Chihuahua, until December 31 of this year. That means the troops will remain until that time.
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