Paso del Norte Coronavirus Positive Cases as of April 3
Area Population Source (cases) No. of cases No. of tests
NM: 2.1 million Source 403 cases 14,778 tests
Dona Ana Cty 218,000 Source 21 cases N/A
Texas: 27.4 million Source 4669 cases 50,679 tests
El Paso 683,000 Source 78 cases 415 tests
Chih: 3.6 million Source 11 cases 84 tests
Juarez 1.3 million Source 7 cases N/A
Making Sense Out of the Data:
1. The amount of testing per capita varies wildly from place to place. New Mexico leads all states in per capita testing, closing in on one percent of the total population. This is about 3.5 times more testing per capita than Texas, and about 300 times greater than per capita testing in Chihuahua.
2. The numbers above don't reflect the reality on the ground. At first glance it would appear that El Paso and Juarez have not yet been infected seriously, and that New Mexico is ahead of El Paso in the number of cases. However, if you factor in the difference in testing, since Juarez and El Paso have not been testing as much as New Mexico, they can't know how widespread the contamination has reached. With $110 billion dollars worth of goods being shipped across four bridges in the Paso del Norte region each year--the busiest border in the world except for the California-Mexico border, it seems likely that infections are higher than the numbers would imply. One trucker, crossing the border at Santa Teresa, showing no symptoms but contagious, could have infected someone without knowing it. Where did this trucker spend the night? Where did s/he eat? Where did he get gas--at theVado filling station or in Anthony?
Watch newspaper reports about what is happening in hospitals.
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