Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Diario de Juárez Reports Nearly Two Days Without a Homicide
How do Juarez Murders Stack up to Tijuana, El Paso, Albuquerque? 
Cd. Juarez in Comparative Perspective

Diario this morning reports that after a bloody weekend in which machine gun attacks were carried out against the State Security Commission and the municipal police, no homicides have been reported in Juárez for the past 40 hours.  Last year there were only 7 days in the city without a homicide, and a total homicide count of about 1500.  Netnoticias.mx reported on February 17 that 65 homicides had taken place in Juárez so far in February and Diario earlier reported 104 homicides as of January 30 of this year. This puts Juárez on a similar path for homicides experienced in the past two years.

**According to a report by a Citizen's Council for Security, Justice, and Peace (Mexico City?), Mexico in 2018 had a homicide rate per 100,000 population of 24.8, compared to the US rate of 5.0 that same year
**Cd. Juarez, according to the same report, had a homicide rate of 85.56 per 100,000 population. Tijuana that same year was classified by the report as the most violent city in the world, with a homicide rate of 138.26.
**El Paso in 2018 had a homicide rate of 3.34 per 100,000 (see here for source), among the lowest murder rates of any city in the US with a population over 250,000.
**Albuquerque in 2018 had a homicide rate of 12.32 per 100,000, far lower than the Big Three--St. Louis (61), Baltimore (51), Detroit (39)--and lower than Oakland, Tulsa, Toledo, or Nashville and others.

Albuquerque registered 82 homicides in 2019, in a city slightly less than half the size of Juárez, where the body count was 1500.  While the 82 homicides represented a record number for the Duke City, on a per-hundred thousand population basis, according to a report compiled by KOAT TV, this represents only a slight uptick in the trend line.  The report suggests that in 1996, Albuquerque, with a smaller population, had 69 homicides, a rate of 16 per 100,000 population, while the 82 last year represents only a rate of 15 per 100,000.  A chart accompanying the report shows the per capita rate year-by-year since 1990, varying from a low of 5 per 100,000 (in 2014) to 16 per 100,000.

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